Should the US put a price on H-1B visas, or would that block the flow of new talent? Are AI coding agents actually making teams way more productive, or is it just hype? And in the AI platform shift, will the big winners be incumbents or new AI-native startups? Erik Torenberg is joined by Box co-founder and CEO Aaron Levie, a16z board partner Steven Sinofsky, and a16z general partner Martin Casado to debate the biggest questions in tech. They unpack pricing vs lottery for H-1Bs and what we’re actually optimizing for, why Box now ships a third of its code from AI, the shift from writing to reviewing code, and why bottom-up personal AI tools succeed where top-down “AI pilots” struggle.
Should the US put a price on H-1B visas, or would that block the flow of new talent? Are AI coding agents actually making teams way more productive, or is it just hype? And in the AI platform shift, will the big winners be incumbents or new AI-native startups?
Erik Torenberg is joined by Box co-founder and CEO Aaron Levie, a16z board partner Steven Sinofsky, and a16z general partner Martin Casado to debate the biggest questions in tech. They unpack pricing vs lottery for H-1Bs and what we’re actually optimizing for, why Box now ships a third of its code from AI, the shift from writing to reviewing code, and why bottom-up personal AI tools succeed where top-down “AI pilots” struggle.
Timecodes:
0:00 Introduction
1:07 Latest immigration policy and who benefits
1:39 Debating the Price on H-1B Visas
2:11 Startups vs. Big Tech: Who Benefits from Policy?
2:31 Market Dynamics and Wage Impacts
3:44 The Lottery System and Startup Challenges
12:25 Labor Markets to Labor Productivity with AIs
14:47 Startups Achieving 10x Productivity with AI
16:43 Early Adopters, Hype, and Measuring Productivity
33:50 AI’s Impact on Professional and Creative Work
37:56 The Rise of AI-Native Startups
40:58 Platform Shifts: Startups vs. Incumbents
42:12 Disruption, Incumbents, and New Opportunities
53:00 The Future of Work and AI Adoption
54:38 Brand Effects and Early Leaders in AI
55:22 Will Incumbents or Newcomers Win the AI Race?
Resources:
Find Aaron on X: https://x.com/levie
Find Steven on X: https://x.com/stevesi
Find Martin on X: https://x.com/martin_casado
Find Erik on X: https://x.com/eriktorenberg
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